Fireball spotted from the UK this evening 28th February

This just happened in the last couple of hours and some amazing footage already appearing. This will be a developing blog.

First what is a fireball from the American Meteor Society

A fireball is another term for a very bright meteor, generally brighter than magnitude -4, which is about the same magnitude of the planet Venus in the morning or evening sky. A bolide is a special type of fireball which explodes in a bright terminal flash at its end, often with visible fragmentation.

Here is some of the footage so far

Image from Starlings Roost Weather

I will update this further in the morning.

The week ahead forecast – Staying settled


Welcome to the week ahead forecast. The full in depth forecast for Monday can be found in the update below this one. It has been a beautiful weekend with blue skies and sunshine on Sunday. Some light rain on Sunday but mainly dry.

Tuesday – Little change for Tuesday across the Western Isles with high pressure firmly in charge. A day of blue skies and sunshine variable amounts of cloud. Some mist and fog in places. A risk of frost and ice. Winds under 20 mph. Winds will be from the South and South East. Temps of 1C to 10C

Wednesday – A colder day. We are going to see light winds under 20 mph from the North and North East. High pressure remains in charge. A day of sunshine and cloud. The cloud increases as the day goes on. Some light rain drizzle. Winds will be from variable directions. Temps of 2C to 8C

Thursday – A colder day as winds shift to come in from the North East and brisk winds gusting 30 mph. We are going to see blue skies and sunshine with variable amounts of cloud. It should be a dry day. Temps of 2C to 8C

Friday – A cold day with a risk of frost and ice. Sunshine and cloud but a dry day. Winds under 20 mph. Winds will be from the South and South East. Temps of -1C to 5C

Next weekend – high pressure dominates mainly fine and dry with sunshine and cloud. Breezy and a bit milder.

I hope you have a great week. Over the course of the coming week, we will keep you updated with the latest weather and the 3 day ahead forecasts. Keep an eye on the blog for extra updates!

Monday’s forecast – Welcome to spring

Good evening Western Isles on this Sunday evening we are seeing a mixture of clear skies and cloud with some light rain and drizzle. Winds under 20 mph and today’s high of 9.8C

Overnight – We are going to see clear skies and cloud. Some light rain and drizzle but most places will be dry. Winds under 20 mph.

Monday day – A fine and dry day for most with some decent and prolonged sunshine the best of this in the afternoon. Some light rain and drizzle but this should clear by later morning and most places will stay dry. Winds under 20 mph.

Winds will be from the South and South East later in the day. Temps of 3C to 10C

Sunrise and Sunset

Stornoway – 07:22 and 17:55

South Uist – 07:24 and 18:01

A full week ahead forecast to follow.

Weather Watch 28th February 2021

Good afternoon and welcome to Sunday’s Weather Watch taking a look at the weather for the islands, the UK and around the Globe.

On this Sunday afternoon we are seeing fine dry conditions for most. Some light rain and drizzle. Sunshine and cloud but more cloud over Lewis and Harris. Best of the sunshine for Uist and Barra. Winds under 20 mph. Today’s high so far of 9.8C

The rest of the day will be mainly fine and dry with sunshine and cloud. Some clear skies after sunset. Becoming a little more breezy. Some light rain and drizzle but for most staying dry.

We are now going to take a look at the next few days weather. All the images shown below come from the Met office and can be found by following this link https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/maps-and-charts/surface-pressure

Monday – High pressure continues to dominate the weather. A fine and dry day across the Western Isles with plenty of sunshine. Prolonged sunshine for most. Overnight cloud clearing away but still variable amounts of cloud. Winds becoming lighter and slight risk of some frost and ice evening. Winds will be from the South and South East under 20 mph. Temps of 3C to 10C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Tuesday – Little change for Tuesday across the Western Isles with high pressure firmly in charge. A day of blue skies and sunshine variable amounts of cloud. Some mist and fog in places. A risk of frost and ice. Winds under 20 mph. Winds will be from the South and South East. Temps of 1C to 10C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Wednesday – A colder day. We are going to see light winds under 20 mph from the North and North East. High pressure remains in charge. A day of sunshine and cloud. The cloud increases as the day goes on. Some light rain drizzle. Winds will be from variable directions. Temps of 2C to 8C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

UK Weather News

Stunning snow moon timelapse

Global Weather News

Marian is now a category 3 hurricane.

Ice pancakes in Duluth

Arcus roll cloud in Argentina

Thank you for reading. Feedback is always welcome.

Long range weather forecast for the Western Isles – 28th February 2021

Good afternoon and welcome to our long range forecast. This is posted either once or twice a week covering from 4 days ahead to 10 days ahead. In this update coving from Thursday 4th March until Saturday 13th March.

Please note there is not a lot of accuracy for this kind of time frame. Anything beyond 4/5 days out becomes really difficult and subject to change so we will be looking at trends. Mainly take with a large vat of salt. We will be using the main two computer models for this. The ECMWF ( European Centre for medium range weather forecasts) which is based in Reading and the GFS (Global forecasting system) which is the American based global model.

This comes from the GFS 06z run and ECMWF 00Z run. I will refer to EC to save on typing.

Thursday 4th March

High pressure stays in control across the UK. The high pressure is now across the North of Scotland. Both models agree on some overnight rain and showers. Winds will be coming down from the North and North East will make it feel cold and there is a slight risk of some frost and ice. The rest of the day is expected to be fine and dry. Overcast with some sunny spells.

Friday 5th March

Once again good model agreement with high pressure in charge of the weather across the UK. The EC has the high pressure over Northern Scotland and the GFS has high pressure in the North Sea. This means for us in the Western Isles we are likely to see fine and dry conditions. A mixture of sunshine and cloud with mainly light winds. Another colder day with again a slight risk of some frost and ice.

Saturday 6th March

Some model disagreement for next Saturday. The EC keeps high pressure across the UK. With the high centered in the North Sea. Now for us in the Western Isles we are likely to see brisk winds with some rain and drizzle. The GFS has high pressure over the UK. But also brings in a shallow area of low pressure to our West and this would introduced some rain. Slightly milder weather than the previous few days.

Sunday 7th March

Some model differences for next Sunday. The EC still hangs on to the High pressure which is sitting over South East England. This would result in brisk winds across the Western isles with some rain and showers with the cloud dominating. The GFS slowly moves the low pressure system away and as it clears we are going to see a slack airflow with brisk winds. This would bring in some rain and showers.

Monday 8th March

Very different model solutions for next Monday. The EC shows high pressure declining away into Europe. It will remain fine dry and settled for the Western Isles. With a low pressure system moving into South West England. Now the GFS brings in a band of rain across the Western Isles to start the day. Then a rapidly deepening low pressure system would bring heavy rain and strong winds to the Western Isles later in the day. As you can see a long way off as yet so plenty of uncertainty.

Tuesday 9th March

Again lots of uncertainty and differences for a week on Tuesday. The EC builds in high pressure across the UK and fine dry conditions with Sunshine and cloud. Winds will be light. The GFS on the other hand keeps the low pressure system mentioned above moving to our North West. This would bring strong winds with heavy rain and wintry showers. Feeling cold in the wind chill.

10th, 11th, 12th and 13th March

Now this is the really long range. So take it with a large amount of salt and is the silly range. So with the GFS it suggests that we could see colder conditions once again with sleet and snow showers. A next deep area of low pressure moves in later in the period so a lot to keep an eye on. Winter isn’t fully done yet.

Thanks for reading any feedback is always welcomed.

Featured image for this post is – Traigh Mhor by Muriel Dawn Mackenzie

Sunday morning brief

Good morning Western Isles this is your Sunday morning brief

On this Sunday morning, We are seeing a mixed day. Sunshine and cloud with some light rain and drizzle. Some mist and fog patches. Winds under 20 mph. Overnight low of 6.1C

Today – We are going to see a cloud dominated day. Some light rain and drizzle. Some sunshine and this will be hazy at times. Some mist and low cloud. Winds of 10 to 30 mph. Temps of 6C to 10C

Monday – Sunshine and dry with light winds.

Tuesday – Colder start with plenty of sunshine. Lighter winds.

Wednesday – Sunshine and light winds risk of frost and ice in the morning.

Have a great day.

Sunday’s forecast – More cloud

Good evening Western Isles on this Saturday evening we are seeing a fine and dry end to the day with clear skies and cloud. Winds under 20 mph. Today’s high of 10.6C

Overnight – We are going to see an overcast night with some clear spells. Winds of 10 to 30 mph. It should be dry but the odd shower cannot be ruled out.

Sunday day – Fine and dry for most the odd shower cannot be ruled out but most places should be dry. The cloud dominating. Some sunshine. Decent spells of sunshine. Some mist and fog patches. Winds of 10 to 30 mph.

Winds will be from the South West. Temps of 5C to 10C

Sunrise and Sunset

Stornoway – 07:24 and 17:53

South Uist – 07:27 and 15:79

3 days ahead

Monday and Tuesday – Fine dry sunshine and cloud light winds.

Wednesday – Risk of frost and ice. Winds light again.

Have a good evening.

Weather Watch 27th February 2021

Good afternoon and welcome to Saturday’s Weather Watch taking a look at the weather for the islands, the UK and around the Globe.

On this Saturday afternoon we are seeing fine and dry conditions with sunshine and cloud. Some drizzle in spots. Today’s high of 10.6C. Winds under 20 mph.

We are now going to take a look at the next few days weather. All the images shown below come from the Met office and can be found by following this link https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/maps-and-charts/surface-pressure

Sunday – High pressure remains firmly in control across the UK. 1040 mb centred in the North Sea. In the Western Isles we are going to see a fine and dry once again. A mixture of sunshine and cloud but we are expecting the cloud to dominate more. The odd scattered shower cannot be ruled out. Winds of 10 to 30 mph. Winds will be from the South West. Temps of 5C to 9C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Monday – High pressure stays firmly in charge of the UK weather. Across the Western Isles a fine and dry day with some decent and prolonged sunshine. Winds under 20 mph. Winds will be from the West and South West. Cloud increasing into the evening. Temps of 4C to 9C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Tuesday – A colder day as high pressure continues to dominate across the UK. A slight risk of some frost and ice in the morning on Tuesday. We are going to see a fine and dry with sunshine and cloud. Winds will be light under 20 mph. Winds will be from variable directions and temps of 2C to 8C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

UK Weather News

Fogbows in Wales today

Some fairly large temperature contrasts for the UK today

Global Weather News

The latest on Marian

Thank you for reading. Feedback is always welcome.

Best beach voting stage round 1 – Isle of Lewis

Welcome to the voting stage for round 1 of the best beach 2021. Round 1 is for the Isle of Lewis

We had some stunning photos entered and these 6 have been chosen to be voted on. It was a stunning selection and thank you to everyone who submitted photos.

So simple rules. Voting starts now and ends at 16:00 Sunday evening.

Please just vote for one photo from A to F. Only one vote per person.

If multiple letters are selected the first one is taken. If someone says all of the above your vote will be disregarded.

The votes will be counted up with the winner announced later on Sunday evening.

The winner will go into the grand final.

Please vote in the comments section on Twitter or Facebook

To make my life easier do not private message letters.

Thank you and enjoy. These are the 6 to vote on.

A. Reef Beach – Carol Ferguson

B. Bayble Beach – Eilidh Grant

C. Swainbost – Scott Davidson

D. Siaram – Kate Macleod

E. Helivig – Iain Stewart

F. The Braighe – Sharon Smith

Saturday morning brief

Good morning Western Isles this is your Saturday morning brief

On this Saturday morning, we are seeing plenty of blue skies and sunshine. Variable amounts of cloud. Some hazy sunshine in places where the cloud is slow to shift. Some mist and fog patches in places. Winds under 10 mph.

Today – A fine and dry day with plenty of sunshine. Prolonged sunshine with variable amounts of cloud. The odd shower cannot be ruled out but most places should stay dry. Cloud increases into the evening. Feeling warm in the sunshine. Winds will be from the West and South West around 10 to 30 mph. Temps of 5C to 12C

Sunday, Monday and Tuesday – Fine and dry with sunshine and cloud. Mainly light winds.

Long range – staying mainly settled with high pressure in charge.

Have a great day.

Saturday’s forecast – A spring like day

Good evening Western Isles on this Friday evening we are seeing some rain and drizzle moving across the islands. Some places are dry for now but will spread into most parts as the evening goes on. Winds of 20 to 40 mph and today’s high so far of 9.5c

Overnight – rain will move across the entire Western Isles this will be mainly light but the odd heavier burst of rain cannot be ruled out. Clearing from the West by the early morning. Winds of 10 to 30 mph.

Morning and afternoon – A fine and dry day is expected. The odd scattered showers cannot be ruled out. Some decent and prolonged spells of sunshine. Feeling warm in the sunshine. Winds of 10 to 25 mph.

Evening – Some early evening sunshine ( yes I love saying this). Cloud increases with clear skies and cloud. Winds of 10 to 30 mph.

Winds will be from the South West. Temps of 6C to 12C

Sunrise and Sunset

Stornoway – 07:27 and 17:50

South Uist – 07:30 and 17:56

3 days ahead

Sunday and Monday – Fine dry and sunny with variable amounts of cloud. Breezy.

Tuesday – Sunny and winds drop

Have a great evening.

Weather Watch 26th February 2021

Good afternoon and welcome to Friday’s Weather Watch taking a look at the weather for the islands, the UK and around the Globe.

On this Friday afternoon we are seeing fine and dry conditions for most with clear skies and cloud. Some light rain and drizzle across Lewis. Winds of 20 to 40 mph. Today’s high of 9.5C so far.

We are now going to take a look at the next few days weather. All the images shown below come from the Met office and can be found by following this link https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/maps-and-charts/surface-pressure

Saturday – High pressure sits across the UK. Some rain in the early hours of the day. The rain will clear away. We are going to see mainly fine and dry day with some decent and prolonged sunshine. Variable amounts of cloud. Increasing in the evening. The odd scattered showers cannot be ruled out. Winds will be from the South West around 10 to 30 mph. Temps of 5C to 11C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Sunday – High pressure remains in place across the UK 1039 mb. For us in the Western Isles a day of sunshine and cloud. The cloud dominates. Mainly dry but some light rain. Winds of 10 to 30 mph. Winds will be from the South West. Temps of 6C to 11C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Monday – High pressure stays in control. Winds will be light across the UK. In the Western Isles we are going to see fine and dry conditions. Sunshine and cloud. A few scattered showers. Winds will be from the South West. 10 to 25 mph and temps of 5C to 11C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

UK Weather News

Global Weather News

Flooding Brazil

Tropical Storm Marian has formed in the Indian Ocean

Thank you for reading. Feedback is always welcome.

Friday morning brief

Good morning the Western Isles this is your morning brief.

On this Friday morning , we are seeing some clear skies and cloud. A few showers some of these heavy in places but they are they are fairly well scattered. Winds under 20 mph. Overnight low of 6C

Today – a mixture of sunshine and cloud. A few scattered showers but most places staying dry. Some decent spells of sunshine but cloud increases later ahead of an approaching cold front which will bring some rain this evening. Heavy at times. Winds of 20/40 mph. Some gusts later this evening reaching 50 mph. Temps of 6 to 10C

Saturday – fine dry sunny lighter winds

Sunday – brisk winds and overcast

Monday – light winds and plenty of sunshine

Have a great day

Western Isles Weather Best Beach 2021 the contenders – Round 1 Isle of Lewis.

Hello all. This is a blog post to showcase the photos submitted for round 1 of the competition. On Friday 25th of February the voting begins with 6 of these photos being taken into the final which will be voted on. This will be done on both Twitter or Facebook.

A big thank you to everyone who has shared photos.

Dalbeag – Alasdair Macleod

May be an image of nature, coast and ocean

Reef Beach – Carol Ferguson

May be an image of nature and coast

Traigh Mhor – Leigh Minion

May be an image of sky, twilight and nature

Eoropie – Philly Hare

May be an image of sky, ocean, coast, nature, twilight and beach

Bayble Beach – Eilidh Grant

May be an image of sky, ocean and nature

Swainbost – Scott Davidson

May be an image of beach, sky, body of water and nature

Stoth Beach Ness – Karin Drummond

May be an image of beach, sky, nature, coast and ocean

Bosta – Norman Macdonald Crichton

May be an image of nature and grass

Dalmore – Norman Matheson

May be an image of body of water, nature and twilight

Ardroil Sands – Lesley Dantinnes

May be an image of cloud, nature and body of water

Dalmore – Lynn Cadger

May be an image of nature, coast and ocean

Camach Tolsta – Cat Murray

May be an image of coast and nature

Cliff – John Howard

May be an image of ocean, coast and nature

Port of Ness – Nicola Finlayson

May be an image of coast, ocean, nature and beach

Traigh Mhor – Rona Mairi Macdonald

May be an image of sky, nature and body of water

Carnish – Debbie Neilson

May be an image of nature

Dalmore – John Clelland

May be an image of one or more people, people standing, ocean, coast and nature

Gary Beach – Alyson Maciver

May be an image of nature, sky and coast

Annabel Cambell – The braighe

May be an image of sky, ocean, twilight and beach

The braighe – Sharon Smith

May be an image of twilight, ocean and sky

Traigh Mhor – Cal Robertson

May be an image of sky, coast, ocean, nature and beach

Bosta – Alister William Macaulay

May be an image of sky, coast, ocean and nature

Swainbost – Isi Oakley

May be an image of nature

Traigh Mhor – Muriel Dawn Mackenzie

May be an image of sky, coast, ocean, nature, twilight and beach

Siaram – Kate Macleod

May be an image of nature and body of water

Meleasta – Magz Macleod

May be an image of twilight, nature and sky

Reef Beach, Uig

Originally tweeted by lochiegirl (@lochiegirl) on February 24, 2021.

Little Bernera

Originally tweeted by Diane Smithyman (@diane_smithyman) on February 24, 2021.

This beach near Gress traigh Helivig

Originally tweeted by iain Stewart (@iaingmstewart) on February 25, 2021.

Voting starts tomorrow evening.

Friday’s forecast – Mainly dry but a hiccup later.

Good evening Western Isles on this Thursday evening we are seeing a few scattered showers but for most its dry with clear skies and cloud. Winds of 20 to 40 mph. Today’s high of 9.1C

Overnight – Mainly fine and dry with a few scattered showers. Clear skies and cloud. Cloud increasing as the night goes on. Winds of 10 to 30 mph.

Morning and afternoon – A few scattered showers but for most fine and dry. Plenty of cloud some decent and prolonged spells of sunshine. Cloud increasing into the later afternoon. Winds of 20 to 40 mph possibly gusting 50 mph.

Evening – A cold front will move across the Western Isles with some rain and drizzle. Occasionally heavy at times. Cloud dominating. Winds of 20 to 40 mph gusting 50 mph.

Winds will be from the West and South West. Temps of 5C to 10C

Sunrise and Sunset

Stornoway – 07:30 and 17:48

South Uist – 07:32 and 17:54

3 days ahead

Saturday, Sunday and Monday – Mainly fine and dry with sunshine and cloud. Winds easing over this time period feeling warm in the sunshine.

Have a great evening.

Weather Watch 25th February 2021

Good afternoon and welcome to Thursday’s Weather Watch taking a look at the weather for the islands, the UK and around the Globe.

On this Thursday afternoon we are seeing showers and some of these heavy in places. Sunshine and cloud. Winds of 20 to 40 mph and today’s high so far of 9.1C

We are now going to take a look at the next few days weather. All the images shown below come from the Met office and can be found by following this link https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/maps-and-charts/surface-pressure

Friday – High pressure sits across the UK centred 1041 mb in the Channel. Brisk winds for us as low pressure sits close to Greenland. We are going to see a mainly fine and dry day with sunshine and cloud. Rain and scattered showers into the evening a s a cold front moves across the Western Isles. Winds of 20 to 40 mph. Winds will be from the South West. Temps of 5C to 11C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Saturday – High pressure remains firmly in control. The cold front slowly moves across the UK. For us in the Western Isles we are expecting to see a fine and dry day with some decent and prolonged spells of sunshine. Winds will finally ease. The odd shower cannot be ruled out. Winds will be from the South West around 10 to 25 mph. Temps of 5C to 11C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Sunday – High pressure strengthens across Scotland 1040 mb. In the Western Isles we are going to see fine and dry conditions with sunshine and cloud. The odd scattered shower cannot be ruled out. Winds will be from the South West. Winds of 10 to 30 mph. Temps of 5C to 9C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

UK Weather News

Northern lights in Scotland last night

Beautiful moon halo

Global Weather News

Great photo

Thank you for reading. Feedback is always welcome.

Thursday morning brief

Good morning the Western Isles this is your morning brief.

On this Thursday morning, we are seeing rain and showers moving across the islands these are heavy in places. A mixture of clear skies and cloud in between. Winds of 20/40 mph strongest for Uist and Barra. Overnight low of 7.0C

Today – morning and afternoon will sunshine and showers . These heavy at times. Showers becoming more scattered into the evening. Winds of 20/40 mph this morning but under 30 mph by this evening. Winds will be from the West and South West. Temps of 5C to 10C

Friday – winds gusting 40/50 mph with rain and showers

Saturday – fine dry sunny lighter winds

Sunday – brisk winds and overcast

Have a great day

Thursday’s forecast – Winds finally ease

Good evening Western Isles on this Wednesday evening we are seeing a mixture of clear skies and cloud with some light rain and drizzle. Winds of 20 to 40 mph. Today’s high of 9.9C

Overnight – We are going to see some rain and showers moving across the islands. Some of these heavy at times. In between a mixture of clear skies and cloud. it will be another mild night. Winds of 20 to 40 mph.

Morning and afternoon – Some rain and showers. These becoming more scattered showers. A mixture of sunshine and cloud. The best of the sunshine for Uist and Barra. Winds of 10 to 30 mph gusting 40 mph.

Evening – A mixture of clear skies and cloud. Winds finally start to ease. A few scattered showers but most places will be dry. Winds under 20 mph.

Winds will be from the West and South West. Temps of 5C to 10C

Sunrise and Sunset

Stornoway – 07:32 and 17:46

South Uist – 07:35 and 17:52

3 days ahead

Friday – Mainly dry with clear skies and cloud. Winds gusting 40 mph again

Saturday – Fine dry and breezy with plenty of sunshine.

Sunday – Overcast breezy and mostly dry

Have a great evening.

Weather Watch 24th February 2021

Good afternoon and welcome to Wednesday’s Weather Watch taking a look at the weather for the islands, the UK and around the Globe.

On this Wednesday afternoon we are seeing some light rain and drizzle. The cloud dominating with some sunshine. Winds of 20 to 40 mph. Some gusts reaching 50 mph. Today’s high of 9.9C so far.

We are now going to take a look at the next few days weather. All the images shown below come from the Met office and can be found by following this link https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/maps-and-charts/surface-pressure

Thursday – a brisk airflow across the UK on Thursday. A lingering front sits to the North of Scotland. We are going to see in the Western Isles with sunshine and cloud. Some prolonged spells of sunshine. A few scattered showers and these occasionally heavy. Greatest risk will be in the morning. A mainly dry end to the day. Winds of 20 to 40 mph. Winds will be from the West and South West. Temps of 5C to 10C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Friday – High pressure builds across the UK. Low pressure sits close to Greenland. A mainly fine and dry day with sunshine and cloud. Winds of 20 to 40 mph. A cold front will move across the Western Isles which will bring some rain across the Western Isles. The rain will be mostly light. Winds will be from the South West. Temps of 4C to 10C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

Saturday – High pressure strengthens its grip across the UK as seen here 1041 mb. A few overnight showers across the Western Isles. During the day fine dry with sunshine and cloud. Winds will ease under 20 mph. A dry evening with clear skies and cloud. Winds will be from the South West. Temps of 5C to 10C

Surface pressure - Forecast chart

UK Weather News

Further heavy rain today for Wales and Cumbria

it had been a wet 24 hours in parts of the UK

Warmest day of the year so far with 18.4C in Santon Downham

Some crazy images from the Western Isles from Scottish Water

Global Weather News

Niagara falls has been experiencing some cold weather

Record breaking temperature rise in Germany

Thank you for reading. Feedback is always welcome.

Long range weather forecast for the Western Isles – 24th February 2021

Good afternoon and welcome to our long range forecast. This is posted either once or twice a week covering from 4 days ahead to 10 days ahead. In this update coving from Sunday 28th February until Tuesday 9th March.

Please note there is not a lot of accuracy for this kind of time frame. Anything beyond 4/5 days out becomes really difficult and subject to change so we will be looking at trends. Mainly take with a large vat of salt. We will be using the main two computer models for this. The ECMWF ( European Centre for medium range weather forecasts) which is based in Reading and the GFS (Global forecasting system) which is the American based global model.

This comes from the GFS 06z run and ECMWF 00Z run. I will refer to EC to save on typing.

Sunday 28th February

Some good model agreement for next Sunday with high pressure across the UK. High pressure dominates with high pressure either centred across England our across Europe. For us in the Western Isles we are going to see brisk winds with some sunny spells winds gusting 20 to 40 mph. It would be mainly fine and dry day. Both models agree on this outcome for Sunday.

Monday 1st March

Again strong model agreement for next Monday with high pressure across the UK. A weak area of low pressure moves into Southern England based on the GFS. Both models have fine and dry conditions across the Western Isles along with brisk winds. Some sunshine but the cloud will largely dominate. Staying on the mild side.

Tuesday 2nd March

Some model agreement for next Tuesday. The EC moves high pressure over Europe and a slack airflow across the UK. Some rain and scattered showers for the Western isles. Brisk winds as well with some sunshine. The EC builds high pressure over Scotland but some rain and scattered showers moving across the Western Isles but mainly light winds.

Wednesday 3rd March

Model disagreement for next Wednesday. The EC brings rain and showers across the Western Isles with brisk winds. The GFS keeps high pressure across UK centred over Wales this would bring fine and dry conditions across the Western Isles with sunshine and cloud. Winds will be brisk once again.

Thursday 4th March

Again model differences next Thursday. The EC keeps the High pressure across the UK with brisk winds in the North West and for us in the Western Isles with a mixture of sunshine and cloud. It will stay on the mild side. The GFS on the other hand starts off mainly fine and dry but a weather front will bring rain across the Western Isles and this rain will be heavy at times. High pressure across the UK for most it will be settled.

Friday 5th March

Some good model agreement for next Friday with things turning a little more unsettled. The EC brings in some rain and showers but winds would be mainly light. Some sunny but mainly overcast day. The GFS brings in rain sleet and snow showers across the Western Isles with winds coming in from the West. These showers would likely be squally.

6th, 7th, 8th and 9th March

Now this is the really long range. So take it with a large amount of salt and is the silly range. So with the GFS it suggests that we could see things turning colder again with sleet and snow showers and brisk winds. Staying unsettled and wintry across this time period. One to keep an eye on.

Thanks for reading any feedback is always welcomed.